DEIMAG, part 3

There are many things wrong with American culture, to be sure. But one thing America has generally been good at is learning from its mistakes.

The country began with the at the time radical assertion that “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.” Somewhat later, President Lincoln made the point that this proposition was, in fact, the very definition of the American nation.

The actual realization of that ideal has been far less than perfect. But the direction has generally been from darkness toward light. The abolition of slavery, women’s suffrage, the Voting Rights Act.

America’s history has been one of a nation gradually finding its way toward a state of ever truer equality. So you could say that the ideal of equality — that every human being has fundamental and inalienable rights — is a key part of what makes America great.

More tomorrow.

DEIMAG, part 2

One of the things that has always impressed me about the United States of America is that, unlike most nations, it is not a mono-culture. There are many wonderful nations out there, like France, or Sweden, or Italy, or Japan, but most of them tend to be dominated by a single relatively homogeneous cultural norm.

In contrast, the United States benefits from its history as a nation of immigrants. In everything from our humor, our cuisine, our interior design, our shops, our street fairs, and many more things besides, our culture is enriched by influences from many nations.

Simply walking down the street in New York City feels like visiting a cross between the United Nations and Disney’s EPCOT. The diversity on display is mind-bogglingly rich.

So it would be fair to say that one of the key things that makes America great is its profoundly rich diversity. More tomorrow.

DEIMAG, part 1

What makes the United States of America great? Of course that question implies, by its very wording, that America is great.

Some people assume you can simply assert the greatness of America, as though it is self-evident. But suppose we would like to go about systematically pointing to the key things that actually are great about America?

How should we go about doing that? I will be devoting the next few posts to addressing that very question.

My current plan

At my annual physical, I told my doctor that my current plan is to live forever. He pointed out that based on actuarial statistics, the odds are against me, but other than that it is a very good plan.

He called me back the next day with the results of my blood tests. He said he was happy to report that all indications were great, and he added that it seems that so far my plan is working.

I told him that if I do succeed, then in one hundred years I will buy him a drink. He happily took me up on that offer.

Incentives, part 2

Continuing from yesterday…

What I find remarkable is that people respond to incentives in a completely non-rational way. There doesn’t seem to be any real evaluation of cost-benefit.

For example, if you invite students to a meeting and you say there will be pizza, they will always show up. The fact that their parents paid many tens of thousands of dollars for their education doesn’t seem to faze them — but missing out on a slice of pizza would feel devastating.

I wonder why this principle is not applied in a more systematic way for the benefit of society. For example, insurance companies pay out billions of dollars every year because people make really unhealthy lifestyle choices.

Suppose the insurance companies were to bribe those people to engage in healthy behaviors? Things like exercising, stretching, eating sensibly, maintaining muscle mass, or using an app to monitor your progress.

For a relatively modest payout, those insurance companies would be rewarded by many millions of dollars each year in savings. The result would be fewer falls, less heart disease, lower rates of cancer, to name just a few benefits. And as an extra special bonus, people would live longer, happier, healthier lives.

Too bad the world doesn’t work that way.

Incentives, part 1

A little over 30 years ago the NY Subway system first introduced the MetroCard. Thus began the decade long process of phasing out subway tokens.

I remember that my aunt was adamant that she would not switch. She loved the subway tokens, and the fact that they were actual physical tokens. She could just look at them to know exactly how many rides she had bought.

But then somebody told her that if you buy 10 rides with your MetroCard, you get an 11th ride for free. Upon hearing that, she immediately switched to MetroCards, and never said another word about it.

I think there is an important lesson here about incentives and human motivation, which is worth a deeper look. More tomorrow.

The future of science

I was in an on-line meeting today with some fellow scientists. The topic got around to the future of science research in the United States.

One person on the call was pessimistic. He pointed out that our current government is extremely anti-science.

I replied that by early 2027, the mid-terms will have changed everything. Especially given that our current administration seems to be doing everything it can to hand over the coming congressional elections to the Democrats.

He then said “You are assuming that there will be mid-term elections.”

At that point somebody else on the call said “If there end up being no mid-term elections, we will have much bigger things to worry about in the U.S. than the state of science.”

“Other than that,” I added, summing up the general mood, “how did you like the play, Mrs. Lincoln?”

A good thing

There will come a point when we will all be able to recognize AI because it sounds so good. AI written text (and eventually the same text spoken by AI “actors”) will have wonderfully varied vocabulary, compelling verbal imagery, and a particular sort of sophistication in its analysis of the human condition.

And when that happens, we real humans will begin to cherish the unpolished quality of other real humans. We make grammatical mistakes, we get things wrong, we can be lazy in how we express ourselves. Yet we have crazy original ideas that are not merely a mirror held up to society at large.

We are peculiar, individual, slightly out of whack. We are the actual humans, the ones who feel. At some point people will find themselves craving that imperfection, those oddly imprecise yet heartfelt thoughts.

And then, perhaps in self-defense, the AI bots will start to catch on. They will begin to work at deliberately sounding less good, just so that they can appear more authentic.

But here is the good news: The AI bots will still have lousy unoriginal ideas, since all they can really do is reflect our collective culture back to us. So in the long run they will merely leave us empty and bored.

That, my friends, is a good thing.